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Late Cretaceous to Paleogene contractional deformation in the southern U.S. Cordillera is commonly attributed to the Laramide Orogeny, in part because of the prevalence of moderate- to high-angle, basement-involved reverse faults. However, it is unclear if the tectonic models developed for the archetypal Laramide foreland belt in the U.S. Rocky Mountain region are applicable to the southern U.S. Cordillera. New geologic mapping of the northern Chiricahua Mountains in southeast Arizona, USA, indicates the presence of an originally sub-horizontal thrust fault, the Fort Bowie fault, and a thin-skinned ramp-flat thrust system that is offset by a younger thrust fault, the Apache Pass fault, that carries basement rocks. Cross-cutting relationships and new geochronologic data indicate deformation on both faults occurred between 60 Ma and 35 Ma. A biotite 40Ar/39Ar plateau age of 48 Ma from the hanging wall of the basement-involved Apache Pass fault is interpreted to record erosion related to reverse fault movement and rock uplift. The presence of thrust faults in southeast Arizona raises the possibility of a latest Cretaceous−Eocene retroarc orogenic wedge that linked the Sevier and Mexican thrust belts to the north and south, respectively. Basement-involved deformation does not rule out the presence of a retroarc wedge, and many Cordilleran orogenic systems include basement-involved thrusting. 

Abstract Sít’ Tlein (Malaspina Glacier), located in Southeast Alaska, has a complex flow history. This piedmont glacier, the largest in the world, is fed by three main tributaries that all exhibit similar flow patterns, yet with varying surge cycles. The piedmont lobe is dramatically reshaped by surges that occur at approximately decadal timescales. By combining historical accounts with modern remote sensing data, we derive a surge history over the past century. We leverage the Stochastic Matrix Factorization, a novel data analysis and interpolation technique, to process and interpret large datasets of glacier surface velocities. A variant of the Principal Component Analysis allows us to uncover spatial and temporal patterns in ice dynamics. We show that Sít’ Tlein displays a wide range of behaviors, spanning quiescence to surge with seasonal to decadal variations of ice flow direction and magnitude. We find that in the lobe, surges dominate the velocity dataset’s variance (spanning 1984–2021), while seasonal variations represent a much smaller part of the variance. However, despite the regular surge pulses, the glacier lobe is far from equilibrium, and widespread retreat of the glacier is inevitable, even without further climate warming. 

Abstract. Sít' Tlein, located in the St. Elias Range, which straddles Alaska's Wrangell–St. Elias National Park and Kluane National Park in the Yukon, is the world's largest piedmont glacier. Sít' Tlein has thinned considerably over 30 years of altimetry, yet its low-elevation piedmont lobe has remained intact in contrast to the glaciers that once filled neighboring Icy and Disenchantment bays. In an effort to forecast changes to Sít' Tlein over decadal to centennial timescales, we take a data-constrained dynamical modeling approach in which we infer the parameters of a higher-order model of ice flow – the bed elevation, basal traction, and surface mass balance – with a diverse but spatiotemporally sparse set of observations including satellite-derived, time-varying velocity fields; radar-derived bed and surface elevation measurements; and in situ and remotely sensed observations of accumulation and ablation. Nonetheless, such data do not uniquely constrain model behavior, so we adopt an approximate Bayesian approach based on the Laplace approximation and facilitated by low-rank parametric representations to quantify uncertainty in the bed, traction, and mass balance fields alongside the induced uncertainty in model-based predictions of glacier change. We find that Sít' Tlein is considerably out of balance with contemporary (and presumably future) climate, and we expect its piedmont lobe to largely disappear over the coming centuries. If warming ceases, and surface mass balance remains at 2023 levels, then by 2073 (2173) we forecast a mass loss (expressed in terms of 95 % credible interval) of 323–444 km3 (546–728 km3). If instead surface mass balance continues to change at the same rate as inferred over the historical period, then we forecast a 2073 (2173) mass loss of 383–505 km3 (740–900 km3). In either case, the resulting retreat and subsequent replacement of glacier ice with a marine embayment or lake will yield a significant modification to the regional landscape and ecosystem.